MSTR 70C, expiring 16 June 2028

1 contract at 90.50, cost basis $9,050
Position P&L, marked to model
MSTR spot
from 140.274
Theoretical value
against the 90.50 fill
No-arbitrage floor
S − K·e^(−rT)
Data age
waiting for first poll
Time to expiry

Why the P&L moved

Measured from the fill, priced at the IV below

Spot
Volatility
Time decay
Gamma + cross terms
what the linear terms miss
Delta
Gamma
Vega, per vol point
Theta, per day
Implied volatility used for pricing
85.9%
at the entry mark
40%90%140%

MSTR implied vol usually compresses into a rally and expands on a selloff, so the realised curve on the way up sits below the modelled one at a fixed 85.9%. Drag the slider down as spot rises to see the honest version.

Reference levels

Priced at the current IV and the current time to expiry, not at expiry

LevelMSTRImplied BTCOption valueP&LFrom spot

Payoff

Solid line is today's mark, dashed is expiry

Mark to model, current T and IV At expiry, 16 June 2028 Weekly EMA band, 169 to 183